✅ 🏈 Our 17 Favorite NFL Props For Week 15

Plus, our 3 best bets to lock in before the lines move!

Let's face it. You signed up for the Best Props Today Newsletter because you want the best props, well, today.

There’s plenty to cover today, so let’s get to the props!

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Best Props Today: NFL Week 15 🎯

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Feel free to mix and match, use your judgment, and take a look at our other favorite NFL props in the section below.

Anytime TD Props: Week 15

(Photo by Andrew Dieb/Icon Sportswire)

We are 38-26 and +11.50 units on TD props — full tracking here.

Here are our favorite plays for Week 15:

  • Brian Robinson Rush TD: -125 at Fliff. Robinson has a rushing TD in 7 of 10 games. Saints allow the 3rd most rush TDs to RBs and will be without Carr, giving Washington likely good field position. Dome game adds to scoring chances.

  • Rico Dowdle Anytime TD: -115 at Fliff. He’s the workhorse in Dallas looking at a terrific matchup against a Panthers team that has allowed the most rushing touchdowns (17) to RBs this season.

  • Josh Jacobs Anytime TD: -115 at Fliff. It’s refreshing to see Green Bay utilizing Jacobs to his full ability. That has translated to a touchdown in 5 of 6 games with 10 total rushing scores in that timeframe. He leads the NFL for carries inside the 10 yard line since Week 10.

First TD Props: Week 15 🥇

(Photo by Brandon Sloter/Icon Sportswire)

We are currently +21 units on First TD props this season.

Get the full analysis and results on the First TD Props page.

  • Josh Allen First TD: +1000 DK

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. First TD: +850 FD

  • Mike Evans First TD: +950 DK

  • Jordan Addison First TD: +900 DK

  • Brock Bowers First TD: +1100 DK

  • Rome Odunze First TD: +1700 DK – half unit

  • Nick Chubb First TD: +900 DK – half unit

  • Jerry Jeudy First TD: +1100 DK – half unit

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba First TD: +1200 DK (SNF)

Remember that First TD scorer props can be a slow burn. You won’t hit a high percentage of these, but one cash can put you in positive territory for the week.

That’s how we approach it, usually taking 5-10 per week and not chasing if the odds aren’t there — especially in primetime matchups.

5 Best Over/Under Props: Week 15 🏉

(Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire)

We are 30-21 and +7.19 units on yardage NFL props this season (see full tracking here).

Here are our best bets for Week 15:

  • David Montgomery Over 14.5 Rec Yd: -120 at Fliff. We hit this last week, and it’s an excellent spot to attack again. BUF gives up the 2nd most rec yards to RBs, and Monty has gone over this in 6 straight with 20+ rec yd in each. He averages 23.8 per game on the season.

  • Travis Etienne Over 12.5 Rec Yd: -112 at NoVig. Tank Bigsby has taken over as JAX lead runner, but Etienne is the receiving back. JAX should have to throw in this game. Etienne’s reception prop is at 2.5, and he could get this yardage in one catch – like he did in the 1st quarter last week en route to 50 rec yd.

  • Aaron Rodgers Over 229.5 Pass Yd: -112 at Rebet. Rodgers broke loose for 339 pass yards last week. Now faces JAX, who gives up the most passing yards of any team. This line is too low. Looks like the rain will hold off (15%). Smash spot.

  • Davante Adams Over 64.5 Rec Yd: -111 at NoVig. Stands to benefit with Rodgers slinging it. Over in 3 straight. Had his best game last week (109 yards). JAX gives up most passing yards per game. Double-digit targets in 4 of last 5.

  • George Kittle Over 55.5 Rec Yd (TNF): -120 at Fliff. Cleared this line in 7 of his last 8 games, with the lone miss in a Buffalo blizzard. He’s also 3-for-3 hitting this mark without Aiyuk and McCaffrey. With both out again, it’s just him and Jennings as primary targets. ✅

May The Odds Be In Your Favor 🫡

Remember, there’s no such thing as a lock when it comes to props.

We can’t promise winners, but we can promise carefully screened picks and the sharpest odds/boosts across fantasy sites and sportsbooks.

Let's outsmart the books and sharpen our skills together.

✍️ Spencer at Best Props Today